方舟投資(ARK Invest)發布報告預測,隨著比特幣逐步發展為全新機構級資產類別,其市值有機會從目前近 2 兆美元,成長至 2030 年的 16 兆美元,未來五年年複合成長率約 63%。
ARK 預估,智能合約網路與鏈上數位貨幣整體市場規模,將在 2030 年達到 28 兆美元;其中比特幣占比約 70%,其餘主要由以太坊、Solana 等智能合約公鏈組成。
報告認為,比特幣與整體加密市場的成長,將受惠於吸納部分黃金市值,以及股票、債券、房地產、法幣等各類資產代幣化的推進;但大規模普及仍取決於監管法規明朗化與機構級基礎建設的成熟度。
ARK Invest released a forecast report stating that as Bitcoin matures into a new institutional asset class, its market value could grow from nearly $2 trillion currently to $16 trillion by 2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of around 63% over the next five years.
ARK estimates that the overall market size of smart contract networks and on-chain digital currencies may reach $28 trillion by 2030, with Bitcoin accounting for roughly 70%. The remainder will be mainly made up of smart contract networks such as Ethereum and Solana.
The report believes the growth of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market will benefit from partial absorption of gold’s market value, as well as the advancing tokenization of stocks, bonds, real estate, currencies and other assets. Nevertheless, widespread adoption still depends on regulatory clarity and the maturity of institutional-grade infrastructure.
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